Fixed auto-cashout strategy: 1.20x, 1.50x and 2x compared

A fixed auto-cashout means betting the same stake every round and cashing out automatically at one chosen multiplier. It’s the simplest approach in our crash game strategy guide, and the one we’d suggest for most players, because nothing escalates. The real question is which target to pick.

Win rate vs payout

Auto-cashout probability calculator

Target multiplier

House edge (%)

Chance to reach target

48.5%

Expected value per $10.00 bet

-$0.30

Win rate needed to break even

50.0%

Common targets (3.0%)

Target	Chance to reach target	About 1 in	Expected value per $10.00 bet
1.20x	80.8%	1.24	-$0.30
1.50x	64.7%	1.55	-$0.30
2.00x	48.5%	2.06	-$0.30
3.00x	32.3%	3.09	-$0.30
5.00x	19.4%	5.15	-$0.30
10.00x	9.70%	10	-$0.30
100x	0.97%	103	-$0.30

Comparing targets over 200 rounds

$500 bankroll, flat $10 bets, 3% edge, 200 rounds, 10,000 sessions:

Target	Win rate	Median end	10th pct	90th pct	Bust rate
1.20x	80.8%	$444	$348	$528	0%
1.50x	64.7%	$435	$315	$570	0%
2.00x	48.5%	$440	$260	$620	0.1%
5.00x	19.4%	$450	$50	$800	9.8%
10.0x	9.7%	$400	$0	$1,000	26.9%

The expected loss at every target is 200 × $10 × 3% = $60. The medians all sit near $440, $60 below the start, while the spread and the bust rate grow with the target.

Picking a target

• 1.20x–1.50x: long, calm sessions. Expect frequent wins and slow, steady losses.
• 2x: the balanced middle, with clear swings but rarely a bust at 2% bets.
• 5x and up: lottery-style. Lower your stake, because long dry runs are normal.

Common mistakes

• Changing the target mid-session after a loss. That’s chasing. Stick to the plan you set before the session.
• Manual cash-out “to beat” auto-cashout. Reaction time and lag cost you, and the odds don’t improve.
• No stop rules. Fast rounds burn through a budget quickly. Use auto-bet stops. See our auto-bet settings guide.

For how this compares with progressions, see the Martingale vs Anti-Martingale vs fixed test.